Industry · 05

Developers & Investors

A laundry investment is a 5-15 year decision.

The difference between a profitable operation and a money-losing one usually shows up before construction — in feasibility, sizing, and operating model. Most due diligence misses operational reality. I do that part.

What I see in this sector

A clear-eyed read on how this business actually runs.

Laundry CAPEX is hard to get right. A central laundry costs USD 5M to USD 50M to build depending on scale and equipment selection. The same building runs at very different cost-per-kg depending on layout, equipment, and operating model. Sensitivity to occupancy or utilization is brutal — a 20% drop from base case can take an IRR from 18% to negative.

I have been on both sides of laundry investments. I built the operational case behind investments at Lavndry (combined SAR 92M CAPEX), at Bubble Dream Abu Dhabi (full greenfield), at MCL Qatar (capacity expansion). I have also done operational due diligence on acquisitions where the financial model passed but the operational reality would have killed the IRR.

Most pre-investment work I see is done by financial advisors who model the spreadsheet correctly but get the operational assumptions wrong. Tunnel washer cost-per-kg, manning ratio, utilization curve, customer mix risk, equipment lifecycle. These are not spreadsheet questions. They need somebody who has signed off on the operational outcome of these decisions.

Where projects struggle

Four problems I keep seeing.

01

Pre-investment: is this opportunity real?

Sponsor or operator is pitching a laundry investment. Numbers look good. Market analysis looks credible. But you do not know if the operational assumptions are realistic and you do not have an operator to call.

02

Sizing without operating experience.

Capacity calculations done by finance based on top-down market assumptions. Result is either over-sized (CAPEX wasted on idle capacity) or under-sized (capacity bottleneck two years in).

03

Acquisition: hidden operational liabilities.

Target is profitable on the surface. Financial DD is clean. But there is deferred CAPEX, an aging core team, contracts with margin compression baked in, and equipment two years from end-of-life. You need somebody to walk the plant.

04

Operating model selection unclear.

Should the investment own and operate, lease and operate, contract to a third-party operator, or build to lease? Different operating models have very different risk-return profiles. This is rarely modeled rigorously.

How I help

Specifically for investors.

01

Independent feasibility studies

For new laundry CAPEX. Demand model, capacity sizing, operating model recommendation, financial model, sensitivity analysis, risk register. Comprehensive enough for board approval.

02

Capacity sizing models

Specific to laundry economics. Throughput per kg, peak vs average load, manning curves, utility load, sensitivity to occupancy and customer mix.

03

Operating model selection

Own-and-operate vs operating contract vs lease vs hybrid. Comparison across CAPEX, OPEX, risk, and IRR. The right model is rarely obvious.

04

Acquisition operational due diligence

Walk the plant, audit the equipment, interview the team, review the contracts. Tell you what the seller has not told you and what the financial DD missed.

05

IRR model operational sanity check

Operating assumptions inside the financial model — manning ratio, cost-per-kg, utilization curve, growth assumptions. I tell you which are realistic and which are aspirational.

Relevant work

Projects that gave me the reps.

Saudi Arabia · 2023 — Present
Lavndry Group — Capital Investments
SAR 92M
Combined CAPEX delivered

Operational architect of the SAR 30.75M productive-asset RCL Riyadh build, the SAR 11M DCL Dammam build, and the operational case underpinning the planned SAR 46.4M MCL Makkah investment.

Saudi Arabia · 2026
KEC Madinah MOU
18.9%
Projected IRR

Operational input into the JV laundry MOU with King Abdullah Economic City. SAR 53M projected mature revenue, IRR 18.9%. Mick built the operational platform that gave the partnership credibility.

Qatar · 2020 — 2023
MCL Qatar Turnaround
20K → 78K
kg/day capacity expansion

Operational turnaround that took a loss-making business to bottom-line profit in 18 months while scaling capacity 4x for FIFA. The classic case of operational reality determining the investment outcome.

Get in touch

Tell me about your investors project.

Tell me about the opportunity — investment thesis, stage (pre-feasibility / DD / build / acquisition), geography, and what you need an independent operational view on.

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Discovery call 30 minutes, no cost
Sector Developers & Investors

Tell me about your project.

Tell me about the opportunity — investment thesis, stage (pre-feasibility / DD / build / acquisition), geography, and what you need an independent operational view on.

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